Sorry to hear you have Raynaud’s. Sarah’s right, definitely see a rheumatologist to rule out secondary. Personally, I was diagnosed in early 2010. The winters of 2011 and 2012 weren’t as bad as 2010 but this past winter was dreadful. My rheumatologist re-tested me to confirm I had primary. I think there are simply too many factors to predict the severity of episodes.